Cheat-Seeking Missles

Tuesday, September 05, 2006

Global Warming News To Ignore

I've already scanned AP, Reuters and BBC this morning without finding any mention of this little story from The Australian, which turned up on Drudge:

THE world's top climate scientists have cut their worst-case forecast for global warming over the next 100 years.

A draft report by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, obtained exclusively by The Weekend Australian, offers a more certain projection of climate change than the body's forecasts five years ago.

For the first time, scientists are confident enough to project a 3C rise on the average global daily temperature by the end of this century if no action is taken to cut greenhouse gas emissions.

The Draft Fourth Assessment Report says the temperature increase could be contained to 2C by 2100 if greenhouse gas emissions are held at current levels. [Major greenhouse gas emitters pictured on right.]

In 2001, the scientists predicted temperature rises of between 1.4C and 5.8C on current levels by 2100, but better science has led them to adjust this to a narrower band of between 2C and 4.5C.

The new projections put paid to some of the more alarmist scenarios raised by previous modelling, which have suggested that sea levels could rise by almost 1m over the same period.

The report projects a rise in sea levels by century's end of between 14cm and 43cm, with further rises expected in following centuries caused by melting polar ice.

In other words, the current prediction is warming at one-half the level of the alarmists' concocted science -- and much more modest increases if greenhouse gasses are kept at current levels. And that's open to question, because the study is nothing more than more modeling by climate scientists who are already suspected of having a severe case of incestuous amplification.

Sorry, greenie-socialists: There's no justification here for a major de-industrialization of your little planet. That doesn't stop them from ranting, of course. Faced with the new study's lower projections, Australian Conservation Foundation exec Irwin Jackson said,

"Every day we delay taking action, the problem gets worse. The Government keeps throwing up the costs of action but totally ignores the costs of inaction."

One of the totally ignored costs is a projected 20 percent drop in real wages in Australia that would follow a concerted effort to diminish greenhouse gases.

Aussie PM John Howard addressed the news with the sort of straightforwardness that has earned him high ranks among thinking constituents (as opposed to warmie-lemmings):

I accept that climate change is a challenge. I accept the broad theory about global warming. I am sceptical about a lot of the more gloomy predictions.

I also recognise that a country like Australia has got to balance a concern for greenhouse gas emissions with a concern for the enormous burden to be carried by consumers ... of what you might call an anti-greenhouse policy. It's a question of balance.

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