Cheat-Seeking Missles

Tuesday, July 12, 2005

Expert Quits Over Global Warming

Was last year's hurricane season made more intense by globals warming? Will this year's, kicking off with Dennis, be more of the same hydrocarbon-caused nightmare? You'd think so if you listened to the "experts." But one of America's most eminent hurricane experts -- Chris Landsea -- resigned from the IPCC because they ignored all his evidence that shows no relation between hurricanes and global warming, and instead spouted the popular junk science.

Here's an excerpt from Landsea's resignation letter; the full piece is at Greenie Watch:
I found it a bit perplexing that the participants in the Harvard press conference had come to the conclusion that global warming was impacting hurricane activity today. To my knowledge, none of the participants in that press conference had performed any research on hurricane variability, nor were they reporting on any new work in the field. All previous and current research in the area of hurricane variability has shown no reliable, long-term trend up in the frequency or intensity of tropical cyclones, either in the Atlantic or any other basin. The IPCC assessments in 1995 and 2001 also concluded that there was no global warming signal found in the hurricane record. Moreover, the evidence is quite strong and supported by the most recent credible studies that any impact in the future from global warming upon hurricane will likely be quite small.

The latest results from the Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory (Knutson and Tuleya, Journal of Climate, 2004) suggest that by around 2080, hurricanes may have winds and rainfall about 5% more intense than today. It has been proposed that even this tiny change may be an exaggeration as to what may happen by the end of the 21st Century (Michaels, Knappenberger, and Landsea, Journal of Climate, 2005, submitted).