Cheat-Seeking Missles

Monday, November 01, 2004

Artisan Bush Should Beat Idealist Kerry

Artisan candidates for president have won every election they've entered in over the last 100 years, and George W. Bush is an artisan! ("Artisans" is a temprement classification in the Keirsey Temperament Theory.)

This year, Bush the Artisan is running against an Idealist, Kerry ... but the purveyors of this theory at Advisor Team are hedging their bets. Interesting reading nonetheless. (This came as an email without a direct link, so I'm copying it in verbatim. Near the end are links to the profiles of Bush and Kerry.)

ELECTION 2004—WILL HISTORY HOLD TRUE?
Four years ago, we at AdvisorTeam predicted that George W. Bush, an Artisan, would likely be the next president, even though at the time he was 8 points behind Al Gore in the polls. Our prediction was based on a study of the previous 100 years of elections in which we used Keirsey Temperament Theory to examine the temperament and character—the personality—of the previous winners. We found that every time an Artisan ran for President, regardless of party affiliation, the Artisan won.


The following chart lists the two major presidential candidates since 1960, with an assessment of their temperaments. The winning candidates are shown in bold:

1960
Kennedy (Artisan)
Nixon (Guardian)
1964
Johnson (Artisan)
Goldwater (Rational)
1968
Humphrey (Guardian)
Nixon (Guardian)
1972
McGovern (Guardian)
Nixon (Guardian)
1976
Carter (Guardian)
Ford (Guardian)
1980
Carter (Guardian)
Reagan (Artisan)
1984
Mondale (Guardian)
Reagan (Artisan)
1988
Dukakis (Guardian)
Bush (Guardian)
1992
Clinton (Artisan)
Bush (Guardian)
1996
Clinton (Artisan)
Dole (Guardian)
2000
Al Gore (Rational)
George W. Bush (Artisan)

2004
John Kerry (Idealist)
George W. Bush (Artisan)

Since Election 2000, the world has changed significantly. The country has never seemed more divided or more vocal over a presidential election than over Election 2004. As we enter the week before the election, political rhetoric is at an extremely high pitch with each side repeatedly impugning the “character” of the other side’s candidate.

Although online betting sites favor President Bush over Senator Kerry, the polls all seem to be within the margin of error. If the historical patterns of Temperament theory hold true, President Bush should win. But, if history had held true last week, we’d be watching the New York Yankees in the World Series and not the Boston Red Sox, so at this late moment, we think this election is too close to call.


Certainly the circumstances of history, economics, and the political mood of the American people play a significant part in who gets elected, but it appears that temperament and character also have a lot to do with our choice.

What is Temperament?Temperament is the innate form of personality—what we’re born with. Character is the emergent form—in other words, how our personality develops through the interaction of our temperament with the surrounding environment. Another way to look at it is that Temperament is the mindset or outlook people are born with, and character is the habits and repeated patterns people exhibit.

Our temperament predisposes us to develop certain attitudes and actions and not others. For example, some people are predisposed (born) with the natural inclination to analyze systems and theories, while others are inclined to fight for causes and empathize with others.

Each person develops a self-image and habits appropriate to his or her temperament. Thus, Artisans like George W. Bush base their self-image on grace, audacity, and adaptability to circumstance. Or, Idealists, like John Kerry, base their self-image on empathy, benevolence, and authenticity. Click the links below to learn more about the Temperaments of the candidates.

John Forbes Kerry
Counselor Idealist
Born: December 17, 1943, Denver, Colorado
Comparable Leaders: Mohandas Gandhi, Eleanor Roosevelt, and Mary Baker Eddy.
Learn about John Kerry >

George Walker Bush
Promoter Artisan
Born: July 6, 1946, New Haven, Connecticut
Comparable Leaders: Franklin Roosevelt, John Kennedy, and Lyndon Johnson
Learn about George W. Bush >